Xis appeal for the Party to adopt a fighting spirit indicates Beijing understands that its path to national rejuvenation is not guaranteed and will require concerted effort. 12:30 - 5:45 PM ET. Weekly update on whats driving U.S. national security policy. Get briefed on the story of the week, and developing stories to watch across the Asia-Pacific. [50][51] The Kuomintang, on the other hand, congratulated Xi Jinping on his reelection as CCP general secretary. by James Palmer, Veteran Israeli Diplomat: We Are Only Part of the West When It Suits Us by Ben Lynfield, Xis Third Term Is a Gift in Disguise by Craig Singleton, Barilla claims to be Italys No. These longstanding judgments provided a basis for China to concentrate on domestic development while it sought to preserve a benign periphery conducive to Chinas rise. World stocks rose and Japan's yen tumbled on Wednesday, after the Bank of Japan poured cold water on monetary tightening expectations and economic and earnings data proved cheery for European markets. The most comprehensive solution to manage all your complex and ever-expanding tax and compliance needs. This cohort had enjoyed a noticeable competitive advantage vis-a-vis contenders from the Central Committee, since three of them were granted a renewal and four were promoted to the PSC. First, there is no institutional constraint preventing him from seeking a third term, and second, Xi had already signaled his intention to stay in power in 2018, when he lifted the two-term limit for the president of the PRC. The scale of the challenge may grow in the coming years, though, as Beijing intensifies focus on Taiwan and brings more resources to its attempts to tilt developments in its preferred direction. All in all, in 37 cases, including the departing and remaining incumbents and first-time newcomers at both the Politburo and the PSC, we have witnessed 33 cases conforming with the age limit norm, two hard violations, and two soft or amendable violations. FPs Winter 2023 print issue brings together 12 experts to help us answer those questions. Tingshu Wang/Reuters. The 20 th Congress of the Communist Party of China, which was held in Beijing from October 16 to 22, 2022, is crucial for the development of the . On Saturday, China concluded the 20th Party Congress, where Xi Jinping gave a big speech at the opening ceremony. Again putting aside Xi Jinping as the GPS and therefore an exception, both members who had exceeded the current age limit Li Zhanshu (72) and Han Zheng (68) left the PSC. The Chinese delegation, led by deputy head of the International Department of the . [3] Elections for the delegates of the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress started in November 2021,[4] as well as receiving and amending party documents. Party Congresses generally are about power, personnel, and national priorities. * In a highly unusual move, China delayed the release of key economic indicators scheduled for publication this week. Introduction "Security" was the operative word in General Secretary Xi Jinping's opening report to the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) this October. Despite headwinds that have buffeted his path to a third term from a moribund economy, the Covid-19 pandemic and rare public protests to rising frictions with the West and tensions over Taiwan Xi is poised to secure a mandate to pursue his grand vision for the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation for years to come. Here are some of the leading contenders and some scenarios to look out for. Christina Lu is a reporter at Foreign Policy. This fact was further amplified by the humiliating removal from the center stage of the Party Congress of Hu Jintao, who once chaired the Youth League. * In a highly unusual move, China delayed the release of key economic indicators scheduled for publication this week. A monthly digest of the top articles read by FP subscribers. The CCP Congress endorsed the membership list of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and elected the 20th Central Committee of the CCP. Monday, Oct. 24: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz meets Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal. The 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party was held from October 16 to October 22, 2022. Few China-watchers expect Beijing to make a military move on Taiwan anytime soon, and there is little sign of preparing society for such a high-risk step and the blowback it would provoke, such as heavy Western sanctions. Or is it because making a claim to the party chairmanship is yet too divisive an issue one that would pose a threat to CCP unity, more so than unseating Hu Jintao at the closing ceremony of the congress? [24][2] The newly elected members of the 20th Politburo Standing Committee in addition to Xi were, in their orders of precedence:[25], At the closing ceremony on 22 October 2022, Hu Jintao, the former General Secretary of the CCP and President of China preceding Xi, who had been sitting next to Xi, was "inexplicably" pulled from his seat and escorted out of the hall by two men in suits and with name badges. Oct 23 (Reuters) - China's Xi Jinping secured a precedent-breaking third leadership term and introduced a new top governing body stacked with loyalists, cementing his place as the country's most. Enjoying this article? Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the worlds largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. He chose a more radical and costly approach over a more accommodating and collaborative one in order to establish total informal control over the PSC. Surprise 4: I knew it was not in Xis interest to identify a successor. This would be an extraordinary move but one that rammed home the message of Xis absolute powersomething reinforced by the rest of the Party Congress., [For more analysis on Chinas 20th Party Congress, visit FPs special coverage site. [33][34] Subsequent official voting results showed that all proposals passed unanimously with no abstentions or negative votes. What Happened at Chinas 20th Party C * Li Qiang, who oversaw Shanghai's grinding COVID-lockdown this year, followed Xi onto the stage at the Great Hall of the People as the new Politburo Standing Committee was introduced, putting him in line to succeed Li Keqiang as premier when he retires in March. Oct 22 (Reuters) - China's Communist Party wrapped up its twice-a-decade congress on Saturday, approving amendments cementing Xi Jinping's iron grip on the party and revealing a new Central Committee missing two key officials lacking close ties to the leader. . 11/04/2022 | The CCP 20th Party Congress and China's Road Ahead. Watch the full interview for insights on how industry thinks about deglobalization, the U.S.-China rivalry, the war in Ukraine, and much more. Turnover norms for Beijings top governing body could check Xis power and boost pro-market reformers. The likely consequence is that Xi & Co. will become even more prone to group think than they already are; they will misperceive the reasons that the regime is facing difficulties and never blame its own policies; and miscalculate how China should respond. In response, the Party has opted out of concessions, with state media opining that lying flat is no way out of the pandemic. This week, we're previewing the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, which begins Sunday. Chinese President Xi Jinping delivers a speech following the inauguration of Hong Kong's new leader and government in July. It follows his yearslong efforts to entrench power at a level not seen since the reign of Mao Zedong, including by abolishing presidential term limits and enshrining his own political thought in the party constitution. [55] The Golden Dragon China Index, an index of multiple Chinese companies listed on American exchanges, fell 14% in its worst daily drop since 2004,[56] before partially rebounding a day later. * China's real estate developers are delaying debt restructuring moves until after the congress, hoping the gathering offers clues on how Beijing plans to stabilise the embattled sector. This mechanism provides the party and its top leader a valuable instrument for reinvigorating its elite corps and redistributing power on a large scale in a peaceful manner. Asia, Southeast [26][27][28] According to Agence France-Presse journalists, Hu "initially seemed reluctant to leave. Since assuming power, Xi has quashed dissent in the once-restive regions of Tibet and Xinjiang and brought Hong Kong to heel with a sweeping national security law. Now that the drama has dissipated, we need to ask the deeper questions, ones that go beyond the specific choices of personnel in this leadership reshuffle and will have a long-term impact on Politburo politics. The worlds longest-serving autocrat will be feted this week in Washington. After having demonstratively demobilized any possible opposition against him at the Politburo, it is hard to imagine that a motion to reactivate the CCP chairmanship, if it were made, could have been effectively challenged. REUTERS/Thomas Peter. But for Xi, successfully resolving the Taiwan question would secure his place in Chinese history alongside Maos. Jonathan Pershing, formerly the Biden administrations No. The event is expected to resolve. [48], Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Sunday on securing an unprecedented third term as leader. After putting his loyalists into positions of power with this party congress, Xi will have a bigger mandate to push through whatever policies he wants, said Alfred Wu, associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore. Having led China for nearly a decade, President Xi Jinping has initiated unprecedented campaigns to fight corruption, reform the military, and eliminate poverty, while confronting the public health, economic, and political ramifications of the COVID-19 . Nonresident Senior Fellow, John L. Thornton China Center. The Politburo Standing Committee line-up brought a number of surprises, but Xi still seems to have operated within a broad institutional framework. Such constancy should provide little comfort or complacency, though. The world's second-largest economy is slowing and facing a potentially painful rebalancing of its investment- and property-led model. China's BYD takes cautious approach to U.S. in global EV push, Chinese who lost relatives to COVID angry at failure to protect elderly, China's pessimistic Gen Z poses challenge for Xi post-COVID, Exclusive: Russia sees sanctions impact on oil products, eyes crude export boost -senior source, Stocks bouyed by cheery data after BOJ damp squib, World's No.2 aircraft lessor SMBC sees recession risk localized, Davos 2023 - Citi CEO Fraser says China opening up is good news for the market, Most Chinese provinces set growth targets of above 5% in 2023, See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. * Xi opened the week-long, twice-a-decade session last Sunday with a speech touting China's fight against COVID-19, the party's safeguarding of national security, maintaining social stability, and taking control of the situation in Hong Kong, which was rocked by anti-government protests in 2019. The second path Xi did not take is the reactivation of the party chairmanship. Moreover, from the very moment that he became general secretary, he stressed the importance of national security (mainly domestic security) and built new institutions to carry out that priority. ar, and how can we apply those lessons to make sure we dont sleepwalk into yet another war? And then at the first plenum on Sunday, they elected a new lineup of leaders who paraded across the stage, including General Secretary Xi Jinping. With little change expected in broad policy direction, key outcomes from the Congress will revolve around personnel who joins Xi on the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) and who replaces Premier Li Keqiang, who is set to retire in March. at the 20th party congress, that . Kevin Frayer/Getty Images October 24, 2022, 6:02 AM [6], In September 2022, rumours of a coup spread throughout social media, but were quashed after Xi Jinping appeared days later. A total of 2,296 delegates were elected to represent the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)'s 96.7 million members by 25 September 2022. Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for China 2022-23 FDC Stamp 20th National Congress of China Communist Party Stamp at the best online prices at eBay! China's BYD takes cautious approach to U.S. in global EV push, Chinese who lost relatives to COVID angry at failure to protect elderly, China's pessimistic Gen Z poses challenge for Xi post-COVID, Exclusive: Russia sees sanctions impact on oil products, eyes crude export boost -senior source, Stocks bouyed by cheery data after BOJ damp squib, World's No.2 aircraft lessor SMBC sees recession risk localized, Davos 2023 - Citi CEO Fraser says China opening up is good news for the market, Most Chinese provinces set growth targets of above 5% in 2023, See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. The Indian government has tread carefullyand invited trouble. * Still, the country's vast financial bureaucracy has been busily tamping down ripples of turmoil across its currency and stock markets, with state banks and companies stepping in to provide support and reassurance to investors. Surprise 3: I predicted that Xi would not follow conventional norms, but I did not expect that the primary candidate for premier, Li Qiang, would lack experience serving as a vice premier, a prerequisite throughout PRC history. The Supreme Court has ruled that despite having actionable intelligence, former President Sirisena and top officials did not act to prevent the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings. This week Xi Jinping has taken his new Politburo Standing Committee on a group trip - to Yan'An, the base of Mao Zedong's Communist revolution after the Long March. Investors will also watch for how Beijing copes with souring relations with the West. The incident was not broadcast in China and both Hu's and Hu's son's names were blocked by Chinese censors. Published A high-level delegation of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has visited Sri Lanka and introduced the guiding principles of the 20th CPC National Congress to all sectors of the society in the island country. Keep up with the world without stopping yours. None of the men are expected to be threats to Xis potentially endless reign, since their various credentials and ages dont position them to be his successor. In contrast, Xi seems to have signaled that China no longer enjoys such conditions; China must instead embrace the need to struggle in the face of an increasing hostile external environment. On China's position on the world stage, he said that "Chinas international influence, appeal and power to shape the world has significantly increased". Such paths include, most notably, an enlargement of the PSC and the reactivation of the party chairmanship. Oct 13 (Reuters) - China's 20th Communist Party Congress kicks off on Sunday, with Xi Jinping widely expected to clinch his third five-year stint in charge - a mandate that would secure his. All Rights Reserved. China wraps up 20th Party Congress with Xi set to become most powerful leader in decades By Jessie Yeung, CNN Updated 6:58 a.m. The meeting will spotlight "the major achievements and historical experience of the party's struggle in the . * China's approach to foreign policy is also in the spotlight after a Hong Kong protester was dragged into the Chinese consulate in Manchester on Sunday and assaulted in an incident which the police are investigating. * Meanwhile, the capital is stepping up security and COVID curbs, and raising red political banners for the once-every-five-year event that brings together 2,300 party members at the vast Great Hall of the People on Tiananmen Square. * The new leaders will face a difficult time. Hu nudged and whispered to Xi, and gave a pat on the back of Premier Li Keqiang before being led away. In this photo released by China's Xinhua News Agency, air force and naval aviation corps of the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) fly planes at an unspecified location in China, Thursday, Aug. 4, 2022. Removing that restriction allows Xi to prolong the practice of trinitarianism, a CCP doctrine that vests power over the party, the state, and the military in the hands of one person. But this time, three sets of dissidents broke from the usual script of defiance to directly criticize the supreme leader and the Party. Li Qiang, the party secretary of Shanghai, is now the countrys No. LIVE Q&A: Join . It raises the question: How do companies with large global footprints decide which side to pick? Xi was able to dominate personnel selection because he had gained control already of the military, the security agencies, the organization/personnel system, and the propaganda system. [7], On 15 October 2022, a preparatory meeting of the party congress was presided by CCP general secretary Xi Jinping, which elected the Presidium of the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress and the Qualification Review Committee. Richard C. Bush What have we learned so fShow morear, and how can we apply those lessons to make sure we dont sleepwalk into yet another war? Each Party Congress is closely watched for the. Markets are closely watching how Beijing manages these challenges. * Leaders face a difficult time. Nonresident Senior Fellow, Center for East Asia Policy Studies. By James Palmer, a deputy editor at Foreign Policy. David M. Rubenstein Fellow, Center for East Asia Policy Studies, John L. Thornton China Center. The United States recognizes the ongoing armed conflict and the extraordinary and temporary conditions engulfing Ethiopia, and [the Department of Homeland Security] is committed to providing temporary protection to those in need, U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas said. A curated selection of our very best long reads. Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the worlds largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. [31] No Politburo members at the front row showed any visible reaction towards Hu's removal. Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. Thousands of people marched through the streets of Washington, Berlin, and Los Angeles over the weekend in a display of solidarity. 2 official; his appointment, in particular, was seen as a clear sign that loyalty trumps all for Xi. China's ruling Communist Party will hold its five-yearly congress beginning on October 16, with Xi Jinping poised to secure an historic third leadership term and cement his place as the. Delivered Thursday. All four newcomers are under 68. The only violation concerns Wang Yi, the current minister of foreign affairs. Surprise 2: I knew that Hu Jintaos protgs, those leaders whose careers advanced largely through the Communist Youth League ranks (known as tuanpai), would face diminished representation in the leadership, but I never expected that the PSC or Politburo would not include at least one tuanpai leader. That position would provide Xi with greater commanding power, security, and prestige. He will take China to an even more Sino-centric approach to policy, particularly foreign policy, said Steve Tsang, director of the University of Londons SOAS China Institute. On 16 October the upper echelons of China's ruling Communist party (CCP) will come together for a twice-a-decade gathering involving speeches, secret . The 20th Party Congress demonstrated that none of Beijings recent troubles, from its domestic economic woes to popular discontent with its extreme zero-covid policies, in addition to the sharp deterioration of many of its foreign relationships, have dented Xis grip on power. Chinas top leader warned his compatriots that their country had entered a period of strategic opportunities, risks and challenges and that they must be prepared to deal with worst-case scenarios. To weather the storm, Xis answer was, of course, that the Partys authority must be further strengthened (with himself at the core) so that China can boost its technological self-reliance, its socialist rule of law with Chinese characteristics, the PLAs capabilities, and its soft power and international influence. The language that Xi used in his work report on Taiwan was firm, but also largely familiar. He also called for accelerating the building of a world-class military. Victor Shih. The industry leader for online information for tax, accounting and finance professionals. I have sadly come to the conclusion that this would simply not be the right thing to do, Johnson said in a statement. And what happens if the United States and China continue down a path of decoupling? The 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), commonly referred to as rsh D (Chinese: ), opened in Beijing on 16 October 2022 and closed on 22 October 2022. And then on Saturday they elected a new Central Committee. Last August, when the United States passed the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), commentators celebrated the fact that the worlds biggest economy would slash its carbon emissions anShow mored provide massive tax credits to programs investing in clean energy. Zhang, born in 1950, is the oldest in the leadership ranks, whereas He Weidong jumped two or three steps to assume this position. I exclude the general party secretary from this analysis because, as I have explained elsewhere, the GPS enjoys more privileges than other PSC members and his position is the least regulated among all. Xi, 69, has steadily consolidated power since becoming party general secretary a decade ago, eliminating any known factional opposition to his rule. * At the congress's closing on Saturday, the party's new 205-member Central Committee did not include Li Keqiang or former Guangdong party boss Wang Yang, who had been seen as a potential replacement as premier. Taiwans democratically-elected government strongly rejects Chinas sovereignty claims. Asia, Pacific Beijing appears to be developing a velvet hammer for the people of Taiwan a set of policies designed to be comforting for those who embrace them, and hard for those who oppose them. If you would like to receive Morning Brief in your inbox every weekday, please sign uphere. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. China's 20th Party Congress will happen in 2022. d provide massive tax credits to programs investing in clean energy. Theyre wrong. At the time of election, 10 ordinary Politburo members (those who were not concurrently members of the PSC) were at or over the age of 68. Xi praised the Party for its achievements during the past five years, including successfully building a moderately prosperous society in time for its centenary, protecting the Chinese people to the greatest extent possible through its zero-COVID-19 policy, restoring order in Hong Kong, countering Taiwan independence, and adopting a fighting spirit to safeguard Chinas dignity and core interests. Xis positive depiction of these policies contrasts starkly with views in Washington and capitals across Europe and Asia, where Beijings major policy choices of late have been seen as threatening or counterproductive at best. Here are some of the leading contenders and some scenarios to look out for. Nine of them retired, as dictated by the rule. Join in-depth conversations and interact with foreign-policy experts with. This creates some room to revive the norm for future application. * Leaders face a difficult time. [21][22] The amendments included adding opposition to Taiwan independence. 1 brand of pasta, but it actually produces its noodles for the U.S. market in Iowa and New York, leading two customers to sue it for false advertising. Xi is now set to begin a third five-year term at the top, breaching the established custom of a two-term rule. We have witnessed age-eligible ordinary Politburo members being denied a membership renewal at the 16th Party Congress election overseen by Jiang Zemin in 2002 (one case, Li Tieying, who was 66 at the time), at the 18th Party Congress election overseen by Hu Jintao in 2012 (one case, concerning Wang Lequan, who was not yet 68 when the congress convened), and, on an expanded scale, at the 19th Party Congress election overseen by Xi Jinping in 2017 (three cases concerning Li Yuanchao, Liu Qibao, and Zhang Chunxian), which are all within the remit of the rule. However, the last feature blatant attacks on the reign of Chinas paramount leader is unusual. Given that the two hard cases of violation concern positions of the military and foreign relations respectively, the violations can be considered as exceptions and justified due to the heightened concern for security in this congressional term. [1/2]A journalist holds magazines with images of Chinese President Xi Jinping on the covers, inside a media hotel for journalists covering the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in Beijing, China October 19, 2022. "Non-traditional security cooperation can sometimes have unexpected traditional security outcomes.. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. October 25, 2022 What Institutional Norms Are Left After the 20th Party Congress? In this essay, I will first unpack what this age limit norm means in an effort to clear out some widespread flawed observations. Zhanargul Zhumatai, a Kazakh artist and former editor, lives in fear of being rearrested by the Chinese authorities at any time. Equally conspicuous at the 20th Party Congress are the paths that Xi did not take. "[42] Xi had been harshly critical in his previous speeches, where he spoke of "the problem that the party's leadership had been weakened, blurred, diluted, and marginalized" (Chinese: "") before his leadership.